Saturday, May 10, 2008

Home Court Advantage in the NBA Playoffs

The Home Court Advantage in the NBA playoffs seem to be stronger this year with all home teams winning every game so far in the 2nd round. I wouldn't put too much weight on that though. In my opinion, it is just randomness. Remember, the home teams were all favoritess in their games in Round 2, so 11-0 isn't as incredible as it sounds. Although I admit it is a nice 10-1 run against-the-spread. Still, I think this is just due to randomness as opposed to a change in the funadamental nature of home court advantage in the playoffs. Betting on the home teams based on this small sample size is using randomness over a short term to dictate a change in the fundamentals, and that is a mistake.