It is just too early to talk about an undefeated season

People are already talking about the possibility of an undefeated season for the New England Patriots. It is simply too early. I agree they are the best team in the NFL, but undefeated is still a stretch. My current power ratings have them expected to win 13.21 games this year, with a 3.6% chance of winning every game. 3.6% is really high to expect a team to go undefeated, but it is still almost a 30-1 shot. Maybe the 3.6% should go be a bit higher if NE shows they are even better than people expect. But they killed both their opponents in the last two weeks - two playoff teams - so it is that much less likely that they are underestimated at this point.

Here are my winning percentages that I've pegged for NE in their remaining 14 games:

95% vs BUF
67% at CIN
95% vs CLE
64% at DAL
81% at MIA
92% vs WAS
53% at IND
84% at BUF
84% vs PHI
62% at BAl
75% vs PIT
93% vs NYJ
95% vs MIA
81% at NYG

Talking about 16-0 is way too early. Let's wait until after the IND game in week 9.