Some prop bets I made

These prop bets were all made in Las Vegas. I don't know if any of them are still available at the same prices anymore. I've attached the price I got (first number) as well as my opinion of fair value (second number). Some of the bets were made at fair value, that's because I thought they hedged my exposure well, so I didn't mind making a zero-EV bet. The good thing about these combination of bets is that they all hedge another prop bet and usually with positive-EV.


Brady exactly 0 TD pass 25-1 +1800
Brady exactly 1 TD pass 10-1 +464
Brady Under 2.5 TD passes +170 -108
Brady Under 3 TD passes -135 -226
Brady Under 3.5 TD Passes -150 -335
Welker No TD -135 -150
Watson TD NO -165 -250
Stallworth score TD? No -260 -342
Gaffney no TD -200 -255

1Q Brady TD Pass Yes +140 +124
4Q Brady TD Pass Yes -120 -130
Brady TD Pass before INT -280 -364
Brady throws INT Yes +105 -110
NE's first TD is pass -210 -212
First TD is Passing TD -170 -187

Manning exactly 0 TD passes +400 +328
Manning Under 1.5 TD Passes +140 -154
Manning Under 1.5 TD Passes +140 -154

NYG's first TD is pass -150 -151
NYG Over 24.5 +215 +204
NYG Over 2.5 TD +150 +118
Brady -1.5 TD Passes vs Manning +200 +139
Manning +1 TD Pass +145 vs Brady +125
Manning +0.5 TD passes +225 Brady +200